Meteorologist Chris Zelman, WALB Georgia, on Facebook:
Let’s test AI. On August 2nd the Artificial Intelligence version of the European Model is showing a Major Hurricane hitting South Florida August 15th, 2025. We’ll come back to it then.
John Scheve on Facebook:
These ominous looking hurricanes are at very long range so enormous changeability is a given but this hurricane season could get very busy in 2 weeks. Two Category 4 Hurricanes simultaneously approaching the U.S. are predicted in the latest GFS Global model run. The new Euro AI has one Category 2 Hurricane entering the Gulf which could become a major hurricane shortly thereafter.
Sea surface temperatures and Ocean Heat Content continue to increase in the northern Caribbean, east of the Islands, east of Florida, and in the Gulf of Mexico. I have never seen a more charged situation as far as warm water to fuel hurricanes – given conducive atmospheric conditions – and that is becoming more likely in two weeks.
If you are in any of these areas or the SE U.S. or East Coast now is the time to ensure your Hurricane Plan is updated with multiple evacuation route options. This is especially true in South Florida and even more so in SW Florida which is now a heavily populated area that would take many days to evacuate.
Having a battery operated weather radio that comes on automatically when you are in danger and a bicycle helmet to protect your head could each save your life. Having a generator to cope with extended power outages, heat, and humidity could be a godsend in the aftermath of a major hurricane.
Remember that deaths from inland flash flooding now surpass all other causes of fatalities in landfalling hurricanes because a warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor. Also remember that Rapid Intensification of tropical cyclones especially just prior to landfall is becoming more frequent with warming seas which can increase the danger and catch people off guard.
Always follow all advice from your local authorities when a tropical cyclone threatens your locale.
A recent run of the Global Forecast Model (GFS) showed the possibility of a major hurricane hitting Florida’s east coast this month, prompting weather hobbyists to share their concerns across social media.
However, AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek that the model doesn’t necessarily indicate a true outcome and that Floridians shouldn’t worry based on the predictions of one forecasting model.
The widespread social media posts sharing the model comes as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) tracks three systems in the Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Storm Dexter, which is currently moving further out to sea, and two disturbances, one in the central tropical Atlantic and one brewing much closer to the U.S. Each disturbance has a moderate chance at strengthening into a tropical storm in the coming days.
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Florida waters exceptionally warm right now. If a storm makes its way in here, fireworks could follow.
Whoa there, Nelly!
The number in square brackets atop model run images is the number of how many hours out the forecast is.
On the hurricane nerd blog, YCC’s Eye on the Storm, making too much of a run out beyond a week [168] (or maybe to ten days [240] for a more robust model) will get people jumping all over you with their shrimpin’ boots…unless you’re posting it to show very exotic results, like an apparent kaiju wormhole opening.
[318] ↔ 13¼ days and especially [384] ↔ 16 days is how people look for clickbait.
I loves me some Levi Cowan and his “Tropical Tidbits” website and videos, but allowing us unwashed masses access to those overlong forecast runs without a giant disclaimer plastered over them does a disservice to the public.