UK Tells Citizens “Be Ready” for Climate, Energy Disruptions

The UK Defense Secretary Wes Streeting has warned that citizens should be ready for emergencies related to climate extremes, or cyber attacks on energy infrastructure. According to the BBC, Streeter reminded the country of wildfires that burned this summer, and flooding expected this winter.

In response, many citizens are adopting some form of “prepper” lifestyle.

Just sayin’ – a lot of the needed preparations for any type of emergency involve accelerating the transition to clean, distributed energy.

BBC:

Some retailers have seen a dramatic increase in sales of essential goods after the government called for people to stock up in case of a crisis, according to figures obtained by Newsnight.

The Iceland supermarket chain said it was “clear” consumers had listened to warnings after it saw a 40% increase in sales of tinned products over the weekend.

The rise in sales came after Defence Secretary Wes Streeting said that people should stockpile goods to prepare for an emergency such as a cyber attack or an extreme weather event.

BBC:

Streeting said the public need to be prepared for “increasingly sophisticated cyber-attacks” on businesses, or supply chain disruption caused by “hostile state actors or terrorists”.

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African Oil Rig Collapse Revives Memories of Deepwater Horizon

One dead and five missing as giant oil rig collapsed in the Atlantic off Gabon.

Yahoo News reported that “…a pollution response team had been deployed to protect the coastline and nearby Mayumba National Park.”

Because this rig was not in an active phase of extraction, and was in much shallower water than the infamous Gulf Oil Spill at Deepwater Horizon in 2010, the potential for that scale of catastrophe is remote.

But, oh yes, tell me again about the threat of offshore wind turbines.

Column: El Niño Giving a Glimpse of the Future

Peter Sinclair in the Midland Daily News:

Dr. Andrea Dutton is an Oceanographer at the University of Wisconsin, and a winner of the MacArthur “Genius award. As I spoke to her about climate driven sea level rise, she illustrated her points with sweeping waves of her arms.
She traced a graceful upward swoop of an imaginary graph, to illustrate the steady rise of oceans in response to global heating – and made a hard point.
“When you look at those graphs, it shows this smooth line going up, which gives you the impression it won’t get to say, 2 feet higher than today, until 2060, for example.”
“But I think that’s a little bit misleading, because in fact, during extreme storms or extreme high tides, you’ll reach 2 feet, but you’ll reach it with increasing frequency, as you approach 2060, till you’re there on average.”

“And so when you look at the projection, it gives you almost this false sense of complacency, that, “we have time, we’re not going to get to 2 feet until 2060”, for example, but in fact, we will get there, much before then, with increasing frequency.

And so using that graph on its own is a little bit dangerous, without understanding what it means.”

At the moment, her words are coming vividly to life in news reports from California, as just such an extreme event is evolving in the Pacific Ocean.

El Niño is a regular cycle occurring every 3 to 7 years, in which the world’s warmest ocean water, that normally pools in the southwest Pacific, around the Philippines and Indonesia, sloshes eastward and piles up for a time against the coasts of the Americas.
This cycle, scientists tell us, is still developing, but may be the most intense El Niño ever in the modern record.

That water, slowly surging against the west coasts of the Americas, being warm, expands, and it’s level rises well above normal, even more so as it presses up against the coasts. The expanding thousand mile lens of water is called a “Kelvin Wave”.
It’s not a wave like we see in pictures of crashing surf, but rather a massive swell, thousands of miles across.
As it presses up against shorelines, it may cause sea level to rise temporarily by as much as a foot or two.

Daniel Swain PhD of the University of California explains how El Niño creates a Kelvin wave, and pushes up sea level locally
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Short Selling a Red Flag for Geothermal

The clean technology that Republicans love, and to be fair, the one that I still think could be a dark horse going forward, is geothermal.

Video above discusses in detail some of the red flags that are causing a wave of short selling of Fervo, the leading Geothermal contender.

Thermal decline, excessive water loss, and some history of earthquakes are all inherent to the technology, and definitely need to be discussed. What it tells us again is that, to meet the burgeoning demand for electricity, there is no readily available techno fix. Gas is limited by constraints on turbines and pipelines. Nuclear is not going to make a solid impact before the mid 2030s, assuming massive government support.

Solar, wind and batteries are cheap, well understood, and go up fast. We need to accelerate those technologies, not because they are good for the climate, but because they are literally the only thing in the cupboard for the near term.

Heatmap also has a good discussion of Fervo’s stumbles here.

Educating Local Officials on Clean Energy Facts

Michigan State University is doing a good job thru its Ag Extension Service providing accurate information to local officials who are the critical front line to get clean energy and infrastructure sited in a timely manner.

A few weeks ago I attended an event for local officials near Saginaw, Michigan, to assess the messaging. For the stuff I knew first hand, it was spot on – and there was more that I learned that was new, as well.

Above, I asked Harmony Gmazel to restate what best evidence on rising electric rates has been. Neither Data Centers nor clean energy are implicated in rising electric rates – a bigger culprit is keeping aging transmission and distribution infrastructure updated in an era of changing climate and weather extremes.

I backed her up with a clip from Jigar Shah’s “Energy Empire” podcast, with the CEO of massive midwest utility ComEd backing her up.

Below, solar expert Charles Gould on the positive effects of solar fields on aquifers.

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Could Little Known Fungus be Following “Last of Us” Script?

Fungal infections are on the rise, including Cladophialophora bantiana , which is the cause of a small, but increasing number of serious brain infections, and some observers believe is adapting, due to climate change, to live in the warmer confines of the human body.

That’s basically the elevator pitch for “The Last of Us”, the dystopian zombie-fungus series from a few years back.

Video above is a quick summary.

Below, deeper dive.

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It’s Happening: Virtual Power Plants Bring Speedy Power Online

Above, former Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm describes how aggregating small batteries at homes and businesses, (as well as rooftop solar, smart thermostats, and other “Distributed Energy Resources” – DERs) is a quick, cheap and effective way to not only power new demand, like Data Centers, but gain the social license and community support to do so.

Such an arrangement is called a “Virtual Power Plant”, and energy experts have been clamoring for decades for utilities to start using them. Now with the desperation to meet new demand from Data Centers, and deep pocketed hyperscalers willing to meet some, or all, of the costs, it’s finally happening.

Voltus:

Voltus will aggregate new capacity from local businesses and homes into a Google-funded Virtual Power Plant. When the grid is under strain, Voltus signals those sites, which then can use batteries, smart thermostats, industrial process adjustments and other flexible assets to reduce energy use.

Voltus then delivers financial benefits, such as bill savings and direct payments, to participating customers, turning Google’s capacity demand into real economic benefits for PJM customers. A recent report from The Brattle Group predicts U.S. consumers could save more than $100 billion over the next decade through better grid utilization.

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