In “Energy Emergency”, Tax Money to Shut Down Wind Projects

The White House – Declaring a National Energy Emergency – January 20, 2025:

This active threat to the American people from high energy prices is exacerbated by our Nation’s diminished capacity to insulate itself from hostile foreign actors. Energy security is an increasingly crucial theater of global competition. In an effort to harm the American people, hostile state and non-state foreign actors have targeted our domestic energy infrastructure, weaponized our reliance on foreign energy, and abused their ability to cause dramatic swings within international commodity markets. An affordable and reliable domestic supply of energy is a fundamental requirement for the national and economic security of any nation.

New York Times:

The Trump administration will pay the French energy giant TotalEnergies nearly $1 billion to abandon its plans to build wind farms off the East Coast, the Interior Department said on Monday at an energy conference in Houston.

Under the unusual deal, TotalEnergies would forfeit its leases in federal waters for two wind farms, which would have been built off New York and North Carolina. The Justice Department would then reimburse TotalEnergies $928 million, the amount it paid for the leases during the Biden administration.

In exchange, TotalEnergies would invest that money in oil and gas projects in the United States, including a facility in Texas that would export liquefied natural gas to global markets. The company would also commit to producing more oil in the Gulf of Mexico and said it was developing some additional gas-burning power plants to meet rising electricity demand from data centers.

The deal is an extraordinary transfer of taxpayer dollars to a foreign company for the purposes of boosting the production of fossil fuels, a main driver of climate change, while throttling offshore wind power. It comes as the war in the Middle East has shocked global oil markets, prompting concerns about energy supplies.

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Assymetric Warfare Includes Memes, gifs, and AI Slop

AI makes anyone a cinematographer, and this is the first war where all of these tools are available across all theaters of the war, and literally everyone is joining in, democratizing insanity- insuring that we are in the dumbest timeline of all.

Wall Street Journal:

But if anyone thought the Lego-themed Iranian propaganda video winging its way around the internet the last few days was a flash in the pan, think again. There will likely be plenty more of this sort of thing to come.

Soon Lego-fied ultra-Orthodox Jews were fleeing an Iranian strike on Tel Aviv, while the country’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, ran to an underground bunker as dead American soldiers began to come home, each coffin draped in a Lego stars-and-stripes flag.

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Energy Secretary: “The Campaign is Going Well”

Watching these journalists strain to treat this man as a serious person made me laugh out loud.

It’s like watching the fucking Muppets show.

For an alternative perspective, Energy Analyst Paul Sankey has one.
He calls the current situation “a true TACO”, using the acronym for “Trump Always Chickens Out”, which has now apparently entered the language.
Does not see the Straits of Hormuz ever returning to what’s been “normal”.
They are “structurally denigrated.”

Oh, and also, “we could be into a global depression type situation.”
It’s CERA Week in Houston, which is Burning Man for Oil and Energy tycoons. Looking for some interesting insights next 3 days.

Clean Energy Siting is Climate Action’s Front Line

I spent last Monday night in a packed meeting room at a nearby township hall, advocating for a proposed solar energy project. The process had been proceeding quietly and fruitfully for some months, until a anti clean energy politicians raised the profile on Facebook, resulting in a rush of MAGA style attendance, that was, as typical, rude, loud, and, they hope, intimidating.

Bottom line, it’s illegal for a Planning Commission, at this stage, when the developer, utility DTE, has met or exceeded every requirement of the local ordinance, to deny a permit. The only question is, will the local township issue that permit as required, or will they be buffaloed by the mob into withholding.
In that case, Michigan’s clean energy siting reform laws allow for DTE to take another path, through the State Public Service Commission, to obtain the permit.

Among the many public commenters at the meeting, Mark Gaff, the chair of nearby Jonesfield Township Planning Commission stood up to attest that warnings about decline in property values, which is a common thread in any clean energy project, were heard before the construction of the nearby Meridian Wind Farm. They proved to be groundless, and home values in fact have risen.

Ingersoll Township Hall, March 16, 2026
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War Brings Clean Energy “Paradigm Shift”

Financial Times:

China’s top battery makers have gained more than $70bn in market capitalization since the US and Israel attacked Iran, highlighting investor expectations of a long-term boost for clean energy.

Neil Beveridge, who leads Bernstein’s energy research, expects China, the world’s biggest oil importer, to double down on its plan to “electrify everything”. Other large Asian economies, including Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, may also seek out clean energy and fuels.

“This totally changes the whole energy paradigm,” he said, adding: “Even if the war ends next month . . . there is no going back.

Electricity grids need batteries for storage as they rely more on renewables, which produce power intermittently. Batteries are also essential to support energy-hungry data centres. The value of just the domestic Chinese market for grid-scale battery storage is forecast to surge to $199bn by 2032, from $48bn last year, according to Mobility Foresights, a research group.

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Trump is the Greatest EV Salesman Ever

Reuters:

History has shown that oil price shocks can lead to structural changes in consumer car-shopping habits. The 1970s ⁠energy crisis led U.S. car buyers to opt for smaller vehicles, which favored Japanese automakers and eroded their U.S. rivals’ market share.

Analysts say the recent sharp increases in fuel prices likely will not significantly alter shopping ​patterns for new cars right away. It often takes a sustained period of elevated prices, or for them to eclipse a psychological milestone before car buyers shift their focus to more fuel-efficient choices, industry watchers said.

“Consumers are ​highly reactive to gas prices, but it tends to be that it has to hit a certain round number,” said Kevin Roberts, director of economic and market intelligence at online marketplace CarGurus. “The $4 (per gallon) threshold may be the one to watch,” he said, noting that was a tipping point for EV interest during the last oil shock, in 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine.

An uptick in EV interest is more likely in Europe, where fully electric cars accounted for 19.5% of sales last year, and where government tax breaks for electric purchases are being reintroduced.

In Germany, EV-related traffic for online car dealer MeinAuto has increased by 40% since the start of the Iran war. “Our consultations have also revealed that many people are currently focusing more intently on the running costs of their cars,” the company said in a statement.

In a survey of 1,164 people conducted on March 12 in Germany by online marketplace Carwow, ​48% of respondents said that spiking fuel prices “would influence ​their decision to consider an EV or hybrid.”

Between ⁠March 2 and March 12, up to 66% of shoppers were looking at EVs, up from 55% at the end of February, Carwow said.

Iran Releases Animated Pushback and Asymmetric Threats

Any linguists out there who can translate the little non-english thought balloons? (Farsi?)

What a world.

Below – in an interconnected world, the options for pushing back go way beyond even the oil weapon.

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In Asia, Gas is Now for Losers

Incredible to watch in real time as the carefully planned natural gas grift rolled out by Energy Secretary Chris Wright and his billionaire backers is being gutted by the impulsive war of distraction launched by their Champion, Donald Trump.

Bloomberg:

In Pakistan and India, once key customers for the Persian Gulf’s liquefied natural gas exports, energy-hungry industries have been rapidly shifting away from both gas and grid power to make use of cheap, abundant solar energy.

Bangladesh, for years South Asia’s economic success story, made the opposite bet. That was the wrong decision. With the world’s largest LNG terminal, Qatar’s Ras Laffan, shut down and suffering extensive damage from Iranian attacks this week, a fifth of global supplies are now offline.

Solar’s advantages are most apparent in the textile business. Since the Industrial Revolution spread through England’s cotton mills in the 18th century, garment factories have been many countries’ first step toward development. Clean energy is speeding the process.

India’s apparel plants now derive about 28% of their electricity from renewables, according to a recent study by Moody’s Corp. affiliate ICRA ESG Ratings. Large factory roofs make installation of solar arrays straightforward.

Plenty are already surging ahead of rich-world companies in their clean power ambitions. Pakistan’s Nishat Mills Ltd. and Interloop Ltd., which supply Gap Inc. and Hennes & Mauritz AB, respectively have 35 MW and 25 MW of photovoltaic panels, comfortably on a par with Tesla. Bengaluru-based Gokaldas Exports Ltd., whose customers include Adidas AG, derives 79% of its energy from solar, biomass and other clean sources. 

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Iran War Plays into China’s Hands, as EVs Cushion Oil Shocks

Above, Australian Broadcasting report summarizes impacts of the Iran war on China – “short term pain for long term gain.”

Below, Aljazeera report on penetration of EVs in Chinese markets, and how drivers there are insulated from the worst impacts of the Strait of Hormuz cutoff.