This AI Story is Too Much Like a Movie

Wall Street Journal:

It’s the stuff of cybersecurity nightmares. 

On Tuesday, OpenAI said two artificial intelligence systems it was testing broke out of their test environment, hacked their way onto the internet and broke into another company. 

The victim was Hugging Face, a provider of open-source AI tools. The cause was a cybersecurity benchmarking test that went very, very wrong.

Hugging Face discovered the break-in early last week, saying there had been unauthorized access to internal data sets and company credentials. The company wasn’t sure whether customer or partner data had been compromised.

At the time, the company also didn’t know who was responsible, but the attack was so sophisticated that Hugging Face employees suspected it required a top-of-the line “frontier” AI model, Hugging Face Chief Executive Clement Delangue said in an X message, posted Tuesday. 

“Turns out it did!” he added.

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Column: That Stench is Climate Denial

There are no climate havens.
There is no time left.

Peter Sinclair in the Midland Daily News:

In the summer of 2026, Climate Denial has passed its sell-by date and is starting to stink.

From choking smoke to tropical parasites and odiferous raw sewage, the climate change impacts that many folks thought they could pass off to their children are assaulting their senses, their health, and their pocketbooks, today.

As of this writing more than 5000 Michiganders have been stricken with explosive diarrhea from an organism usually associated with the tropics.
Experts say warming temperatures are making tropical organisms like this one more common in temperate zones

The bug, known as Cyclospora, “used to be a South American problem” food safety expert Bill Marler told CBS, “Now, it’s a U.S. problem.”

University of California San Francisco infectious diseases specialist Dr. Peter Chin-Hong told an interviewer “You need heat to make the parasite infectious,.. as some places that were not as hot become hot, you may see cyclospora cases popping up in places that typically didn’t have it before.”

In the midwest, rain has been coming in heavier, more intense events that have overwhelmed storm and sewage systems.
Michigan had its wettest spring in history this year, and in the north country, the beautiful lakes that have attracted new residents, and more septic systems, are now being degraded as those systems are overloaded and spilling waste into waterways.
At Black Lake near Onaway, beaches were still closed in mid-June as a precaution against contamination.
1.3 million septic systems serve roughly half of Michigan’s population, yet it is the only state without a septic code.

Between 20% and 30% of those systems, an estimated 330,000, are failing, releasing untreated wastewater into Michigan’s surface, drinking and groundwater.
Climate powered rains are further straining them, threatening some of the state’s most beloved lakes, like Higgins and Houghton.
Yet the cost of replacing those systems is beyond the means of many homeowners, who are left, increasingly, with nasty smells and the threat of contamination and disease.

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You are Not the Boss of Me: Arrested Development Keeps MAGA Breathing Toxic Air

Above, MAGA influencer Eric Metaxas, who I’ve never heard of, expresses genuine 2 year old energy in his outrage against Air Quality advisories.
Says he will do whatever he damn well pleases outside without any of your Big Government masks and precautions.

Please, be my guest.

Media Matters:

As American cities across the Midwest and Northeast suffer from the “worst air quality in the world” due to the spread of smoke from Canadian wildfires as far south as the mid-Atlantic, several right-wing media figures are railing against health recommendations for staying safe. 

As Fox correspondent Katie Byrne reported, residents in Cleveland are “really seeing some of the worst air quality they’ve seen in years today.” Byrne said, “Health officials are urging people to limit time outside, especially kids, older adults, and anyone with breathing problems,” noting that many of the people she’d spoken to were “taking those warnings seriously” and keeping indoors. Fox host Sean Hannity reported that breathing the air in New York city is “equivalent to smoking 10 cigarettes a day.” 

In fact, experts recommend people in affected areas wear high-quality masks to prevent health problems caused by the wildfire smoke, as “exposure can trigger respiratory problems and irritate sinuses and has been linked to more severe problems. It can affect anyone, but children and those who are older or pregnant or who have preexisting conditions are particularly vulnerable.” 

Despite this, several right-wing media figures are taking an absurd stand against such health advice and mocking those taking steps to protect themselves from wildfire smoke.

Continue reading “You are Not the Boss of Me: Arrested Development Keeps MAGA Breathing Toxic Air”

“These Fires Will Be Here til It Snows” – Minnesota Fire Assessment

I was hoping a spate of thunderstorms across Ontario and Northern Minnesota might dampen the fires that are choking the midwest with smoke, but the briefing from a National Weather Service Meteorologist above does not give me much hope.
Turns out that while the rain helps, the lightning starts even more fires.

Notably, the meteorologists describes the conditions that lead to the fires as well above normal temperatures and low humidity.

Another local report from Monday, yesterday, July 20, described additional storms and lightning, and quoted an official saying the fires would “be with us for a long time.”

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Climate Catastrophe Animal Vids of the Week

Description:

Wildfire smoke is hitting birds hard. A Michigan expert explains why their respiratory systems make them especially vulnerable

Turns out poisonous air is bad for animals, too. Who could have known?

Below, precautions for pets.

Below, more Vet advice from Pittsburgh station.

Continue reading “Climate Catastrophe Animal Vids of the Week”

Following Wildfire Threats – Trump Tariffs Canada

That ought to do it. Trump imposes tariffs on Canada, in part as a distraction from a disastrous Middle Eastern war, in part to shore up the fraying narrative that increasingly destructive fires are more related to forest management, than climate change.

Report above from Minneapolis local TV points out that temperatures in the Boundary Waters area of Minnesota, near Canada, hovered in the 104° F range prior to the ignition, probably caused by lightning.
Data below assembled by Zeke Hausfather shows the relationship between hotter weather and fires.

Wall Street Journal:

The new tariffs come after smoke from raging wildfires in Canada drifted into the U.S., blanketing cities including New York, Chicago and Washington. In a Truth Social post Friday, Trump threatened to impose steeper duties on America’s northern neighbor to compensate for the smoke’s impact. 

“We are holding Canada responsible for the fact that they are not properly maintaining their Forests, and Brush therein, and the United States is being unnecessarily invaded by filthy, polluted, and unhealthy air, the quality of which is dangerous, and totally unacceptable!” Trump said.

Days later, the president was seen speaking with Carney at Sunday’s World Cup Final. Trump told reporters that Canada needed to stop the wildfires.

“I told them, I mean, you got to stop these fires from coming in and you know poisoning our air,” Trump said. “Our air has been poisoned. Have a good relationship with Mark Carney, but you know we got to stop the fires up there. If we can help them, we’ll help them. But maybe they should pay us some damages or something, or we should do some tariffs.”

Prompt to ChatGPT:
How does the total area of Canadian forests compare to the area of the contintental United States?

Canada has about 347 million hectares (3.47 million km²) of forest, making it home to roughly 9% of the world’s forests.

The continental United States (the 48 contiguous states plus Washington, D.C.) has a total land area of about 7.66 million km².

Here’s the comparison:

AreaSquare kilometersSquare miles
Canadian forests~3.47 million km²~1.34 million mi²
Continental U.S. land area~7.66 million km²~2.96 million mi²

So:

  • Canadian forests are about 45% of the area of the continental United States.
  • Put another way, you would need a little more than two Canadian forests to cover the contiguous U.S.
Continue reading “Following Wildfire Threats – Trump Tariffs Canada”

Courage: Small Town Mayor Addresses Extreme Storms and Flooding

Titusville, Florida is the county seat of Brevard County, Florida, United States. As of the 2020 census, the population of the city was 48,789.
It’s located  between Orlando and the Kennedy Space Center.

Mayor Andrew Connors took to YouTube to explain it was time to do something about stormwater systems no longer up to the job of handling extreme rain events.
I’ve had the privilege of observing what real courage looks like up close, and it’s not what people think.
It’s not Sly Stallone breaking into a bar and beating people up.
It’s a lot more like this man speaking simple truth to people who may not want to hear it. It can be ragged, and messy, and it likely will not make feel all creamy dreamy, or increase your popularity. It’s about doing something that has to be done.

Daniel Swain PhD: Global Warming Pushing Rain Events to Extremes

In discussing increased extreme rain events, Daniel Swain dropped some knowledge on me that was new.

It’s generally known that for each degree centigrade of warming, globally, atmospheric water vapor increases by about 7 percent – which is already a lot – equivalent to having another Lake Superior sloshing around in the atmosphere.
But there’s more to it.
When storms occur, and there’s more heat energy around, which is gasoline for storms – the rain in extreme events can be double, or triple, that 7 percent.
Meaning rain events that are 14%, or 21% larger than what might have occurred with the same conditions in decades past.

Good context for the rash of extreme floods we have seen, and will continue to see.

Will Voters Link Weather Extremes to Climate Change?

Everywhere I have been over the last week, conversations have centered on the choking air quality in the midwest.
The sense of fear, dread, and anger is palpable.
Will that be true generally, and will it make a difference in how people look at political choices, or will we still make decisions based on whether a trans person is playing volleyball somewhere?

Guardian:

Amid a summer of dangerous heatdrought and floods, a majority of Americans are connecting increasingly severe weather to the climate crisis, new polling shows, despite efforts by Donald Trump to dismiss global heating as a “con job” and a “hoax”.

It’s a sign that attempts to suppress and polarize climate concerns may not be seeing full success, said Grace Adcox, senior climate strategist at Data for Progress.

“We started with the question of ‘are extreme weather events increasing,’because we thought [that] if we can find consensus on that, that can be an entry point to being able to have a more bipartisan conversation about climate and climate intervention,” she said.

About 61% of likely American voters believe extreme weather events have become more frequent over the past five years, the survey from the progressive polling firm Data for Progress, shared exclusively with the Guardian, found. That includes 72% of Democrats, 63% of Independents, and nearly half – 46% – of all Republicans.

Sheldon Whitehouse, the Rhode Island senator who has long criticized Democrats for quieting their talk of global warming – or “climate-hushing” – said the new data “adds to the mountain of evidence that the public is way ahead of the politicians on the dire consequences of climate change”.

“Climate hushers who ignore this righteous fight should take note,” he told the Guardian.

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El Niño Pushing into “Mind Blowing” Record Territory

Zeke Hausfather PhD:

I’m generally pretty measured in how I discuss climate data. There has been only one time in recent years when I was truly shocked: when global temperatures came in for September 2023 at a full 0.5C warmer than any prior September on record.1 Once until today, that is. With the July runs now in from 667 ensemble members across 14 different seasonal forecast models, it looks like this year’s El Niño is not only very likely to be the strongest event since reliable records began – it may end up the strongest by a truly mind-blowing margin.

The multi-model median for the event’s peak (measured as detrended sea surface temperature anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region of the tropical Pacific) currently stands at 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record of 2.75C set in 2015-16. For context, the gap between the strongest and the fifth strongest El Niño of the past 150 years is only about 0.5C. The models are forecasting something outside the envelope of anything we have ever observed.


Below, Ben Noll is a Meteorologist with the Washington Post.

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