A very scary red line at the end of the graph there. It is only a projection, so maybe we’ll get lucky and still have half of the 20 to 25 years that others have predicted as the tipping point for the Amazon. That gets us back to 2030—-ten years and counting (if you’re a wishful thinker rather than a rational fatalist)/
Too many mob bosses running too many violent, illegal, profitable timber harvesting operations. That includes the Amazon, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, ….
The “Every year, Greenland loses more ice than it gains in snow” quote is factually incorrect. For the last 17 years it’s been approximately (Gt/year):
2002-2004 -140
2005-2009 -251
2010-2012 -435
2013-2016 -215
2017-2018 +44
2019 Some loss likely large not yet known
Those are a bit approximate but not too bad. Time lines are very short for trending. Perhaps 2002-2009 should be monolithic at -210 Gt/year (tr4end looks more like -233 Gt/year. Average -227 Gt/year 2002-2018. GRACE-FO analysis still ends at March 2019 on its site so 2019 is unknown loss. I still think that it remains important to state fact accurately as far its known and not lie with non quantified hyperbole. That’s just my approach to the science, trying to fight the vast tide from all sides that relentlessly attempts to turn it into a junk science.
https://sealevel.nasa.gov/news/169/grace-fo-shows-the-weight-of-midwestern-floods
It ends at May 31, 2019 now so still waiting for 2018/2019 that got everybody so excited.
My 2017-2018 +44 is wrong, S.B.
2017 +44
2018 Maybe about zero
Hard to tell because of 12 month gap when the battery failed. Bottom line is no mass change worth mentioning for 2 years prior to the year just ended in September/October (with a loss amount largish not yet known).
Also, at 15:00 at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AT5jdqHUeKM
I used the latter which ends 2015 to scale the former because NASA GRACE-FO didn’t show how to convert their loss “meter-H2O” metric to mass.
On the other hand, the Amazon Rainforest Could be Two Years from Irreversible ‘Tipping Point
A very scary red line at the end of the graph there. It is only a projection, so maybe we’ll get lucky and still have half of the 20 to 25 years that others have predicted as the tipping point for the Amazon. That gets us back to 2030—-ten years and counting (if you’re a wishful thinker rather than a rational fatalist)/
Too many mob bosses running too many violent, illegal, profitable timber harvesting operations. That includes the Amazon, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, ….
OMG—–clever title with multiple meanings. Would anyone like to guess what the findings will be once the data from all those probes is analyzed?
The findings will be…largely ignored, as usual.
I think I’ll go watch something more uplifting, like the hurried excuses from Republican rats as they abandon their sinking ship. :-/
The “Every year, Greenland loses more ice than it gains in snow” quote is factually incorrect. For the last 17 years it’s been approximately (Gt/year):
2002-2004 -140
2005-2009 -251
2010-2012 -435
2013-2016 -215
2017-2018 +44
2019 Some loss likely large not yet known
Those are a bit approximate but not too bad. Time lines are very short for trending. Perhaps 2002-2009 should be monolithic at -210 Gt/year (tr4end looks more like -233 Gt/year. Average -227 Gt/year 2002-2018. GRACE-FO analysis still ends at March 2019 on its site so 2019 is unknown loss. I still think that it remains important to state fact accurately as far its known and not lie with non quantified hyperbole. That’s just my approach to the science, trying to fight the vast tide from all sides that relentlessly attempts to turn it into a junk science.
Link?
https://sealevel.nasa.gov/news/169/grace-fo-shows-the-weight-of-midwestern-floods
It ends at May 31, 2019 now so still waiting for 2018/2019 that got everybody so excited.
My 2017-2018 +44 is wrong, S.B.
2017 +44
2018 Maybe about zero
Hard to tell because of 12 month gap when the battery failed. Bottom line is no mass change worth mentioning for 2 years prior to the year just ended in September/October (with a loss amount largish not yet known).
Also, at 15:00 at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AT5jdqHUeKM
I used the latter which ends 2015 to scale the former because NASA GRACE-FO didn’t show how to convert their loss “meter-H2O” metric to mass.
Ta.