NSIDC has no new analysis since this one last week.
The graph above is the most current, from the 24th.
This shows is sea ice extent. “Extent” means that a given grid square contains at least 15 percent ice cover. So an area might count as “ice extent”, and still have a whole lot of open water.
Below, see the trend in August ice volume, according to the U. of Washington’s PIOMAS model.
Draw your own conclusions.
Nice knowing you, multi-year Arctic sea ice.
Denial is not a river in Egypt, it is…
A maladaptive coping strategy that doesn’t work (Clive Hamilton); and
A precursor to history when losing the argument (David Aaronovitch).
I conclude that :
1) The record low of 2007 looks like being broken or equalled this year unless that line make s arpaid change of direction.
2) The arctic sea ice “canary in the coal mine” is looking very sick twitching in its death throes faster than we expected.
3) Climate Contrarians are going to turn this chart upside down and use it as “proof” that things are really getting better – and hope that no one notices.
Argh! Typos, sorry. That’s :
1) .. unless that line makes a rapid change of direction.
Which would have to be a rapid change in one of two possible directions too -either flattening out to plateau above the 2007 marker or rising natch. I’d guess neither seems terribly likely.
The alternative that the blue 2012 line there could really plummet even more dramatically is rather (un~aptly) chilling.
I’ll be posting more early next week. A key contact notified me yesterday that conditions may be setting up for another nosedive. will know more this weekend.