“A small but non-zero chance” of 2 degrees above pre-industrial before 2030.
fuck.
World Meteorological Organizations:
Global climate predictions show temperatures are expected to continue at or near record levels in the next five years, increasing climate risks and impacts on societies, economies and sustainable development, according to a new report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Key messages
- 80% chance that at least one of the next five years will exceed 2024 as the warmest on record
- 86% chance that at least one of next five years will be more than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average
- 70% chance that 5-year average warming for 2025-2029 will be more than 1.5 °C
- Long-term warming (averaged over decades) remains below 1.5°C
- Arctic warming predicted to continue to outstrip global average
- Precipitation patterns have big regional variations

