Above, WFAA Dallas report.
University of Miami Meteorologist Brian McNoldy on Facebook:
Heads-up: The future disturbance in the western Caribbean is up to a 40% probability of formation within a week. If it forms, it will enter the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday-Friday next week (Oct 3-4) and could impact the Gulf coast 2-3 days after that. Long-range models are in pretty good agreement on this.
The ocean heat content averaged over the Gulf of Mexico is still record high, so plenty of fuel for whatever happens to pass over it.
Below, KHOU Houston adds some notes.
Accuweather Meteorologist calling it now:
Ocean heat content, as opposed to sea surface temperature, is a better way to measure fuel for tropical cyclones:
https://isotherm.rsmas.miami.edu/heat/images/ohc_aQG3_latest_natl.gif