In today's Berardelli Bonus: As Ernesto bows out, the Atlantic is so quiet you can hear a pin drop. It's August 19th. Ocean temps are near record levels. Theoretically the Atlantic should be off to the races – or at least almost ready. So what gives? Here's one of the factors… https://t.co/PM8xaa9ZJ1 pic.twitter.com/8lSKXLy4Ac
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) August 19, 2024
But…
With respect to tropical cyclone count, 2024 may feel "slow" at this time given high seasonal forecasts.
— Dr. Kim Wood (@DrKimWood) August 16, 2024
But when we use an index like Accumulated Cyclone Energy, which incorporates a storm's intensity + duration, 2024 resembles 2020.
The season higher than 2024 so far is 2005. pic.twitter.com/7YpJcMx0A2
The calm before, or eye of the storm?