Denier and right wing asset Judith Curry sought to distract from massive rain Dubai rain dump with a “cloud seeding” dodge.
Science twitter pounced.
Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according to theory and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes could be affected differently. Here, using 25 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 driven by a range of plausible scenarios of future greenhouse gas emissions, we show that the rarer the event, the more likely it is to increase in a future climate. By the end of this century, daily land rainfall extremes could increase in magnitude between 10.5% and 28.2% for annual events, and between 13.5% and 38.3% for centennial events, for low and high emission scenarios respectively. The results are consistent across models though with regional variation, but the underlying mechanisms remain to be determined.
https://apnews.com/article/climate-change-damage-economy-income-costly-3e21addee3fe328f38b771645e237ff9
Yeah, except for the wildfires and the spread of more insect disease vectors and the increased tropical storms making it up to Canada’s Atlantic provinces and the vegetation-confusing swings in temperature and everybody worse off wanting to migrate there, they’ll do just fine.
Jeff B. retweeted(?) Tomer Burg
Look! A call-out to Dr. Levi Cowan’s Tropical Tidbits, the go-to for weather nerds to find a whole suite of big-name weather models, both recently released and archived. This is an aspect of the Internet that I’ve always loved.
“Don’t fall for fake news – it was not cloud seeding that caused heavy rains in the UAE, the Met Office has confirmed in an exclusive interview with Gulf News.”
https://gulfnews.com/uae/weather/heavy-rains-in-uae-no-cloud-seeding-done-confirms-met-office-1.1713373843670