Downside – possibly triggering use of the “C” word. Upside – might reach people who otherwise ignore the science. Solution – post with trigger warning.
I pray that the folks producing this rethink the utterly useless addition of offensive curse words that do nothing to achieve the objective. I hope they reissue a version that can be widely distributed and heard by people. The people that most need to hear it are in many cases the ones who won’t hear it because of the juvenile cursing.
I agree. But its cathartic to hear it. After all, what you’re saying is we’re going to ‘effe’ the World on behalf of people who don’t want to hear the word ‘effe’.
When history is written, Friederike Otto is going to be one of the heroes of climate science.
World Weather Attribution is the name of the multi-institution, multi-national collaboration she leads. WWA provides estimates of the impact of climate change on climate events, in close to real time.
So when the floods in the Niger valley or in Pakistan are still in the news, her collaborators are doing the work to say whether climate change has rendered the event only 30% more likely or 10 times more likely. In time to get into the news. Not years later.
It is kind of miraculous. I and think, possibly, providing this kind of real-time information could be something which affects public policy. Because it puts climate change into the conversation while the news is still news.
Reporting in real time “this event was rendered 10x more likely due to climate change” could have much more impact than the generic “scientists day this kind of event is more likely.”
Sorry, but attribution science is too opaque to effectively change the conversation. The uninformed, the misinformed, the doubt mongers and the deniers have less reason to accept that analysis (which involves brain-defying statistics and abstruse math) than they have to accept the more basic physical explanation of how the Greenhouse Effect works.
In terms of scientific advancement, it’s amazing, but it’s an advancement in an area that makes little difference to the people who only pay attention when their town burns down or their house is flooded or their insurance bill arrives.
Too bad it’s on …
I pray that the folks producing this rethink the utterly useless addition of offensive curse words that do nothing to achieve the objective. I hope they reissue a version that can be widely distributed and heard by people. The people that most need to hear it are in many cases the ones who won’t hear it because of the juvenile cursing.
I agree. But its cathartic to hear it. After all, what you’re saying is we’re going to ‘effe’ the World on behalf of people who don’t want to hear the word ‘effe’.
When history is written, Friederike Otto is going to be one of the heroes of climate science.
World Weather Attribution is the name of the multi-institution, multi-national collaboration she leads. WWA provides estimates of the impact of climate change on climate events, in close to real time.
So when the floods in the Niger valley or in Pakistan are still in the news, her collaborators are doing the work to say whether climate change has rendered the event only 30% more likely or 10 times more likely. In time to get into the news. Not years later.
It is kind of miraculous. I and think, possibly, providing this kind of real-time information could be something which affects public policy. Because it puts climate change into the conversation while the news is still news.
Reporting in real time “this event was rendered 10x more likely due to climate change” could have much more impact than the generic “scientists day this kind of event is more likely.”
Sorry, but attribution science is too opaque to effectively change the conversation. The uninformed, the misinformed, the doubt mongers and the deniers have less reason to accept that analysis (which involves brain-defying statistics and abstruse math) than they have to accept the more basic physical explanation of how the Greenhouse Effect works.
In terms of scientific advancement, it’s amazing, but it’s an advancement in an area that makes little difference to the people who only pay attention when their town burns down or their house is flooded or their insurance bill arrives.