The 12Z Hurricane models now all have a major hurricane at landfall around midnight Tuesday night. The models are in the 930-945 MB range. #flwx #Idalia pic.twitter.com/ekpIwFt4n1
— Jeff Piotrowski (@Jeff_Piotrowski) August 26, 2023
This is 93L — the precursor to what will likely become #Idalia tomorrow.
— MyRadar Weather (@MyRadarWX) August 26, 2023
It will likely become a strong tropical storm or perhaps hurricane in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
A Florida impact expected Tuesday/Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/Z5qmVuDEqA

Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi mentioned that no Hurricane Hunter flights have even been out there yet the models are in high agreement. Accuracy of models is getting measurably better over the past ten years (they each have their own weaknesses of course).