"We are 'firmly on track towards an unlivable word.' Those were the words of the UN Secretary-General… the grim warnings might not sound familiar because it got almost no major media coverage."
— Mehdi Hasan (@mehdirhasan) April 8, 2022
My opening monologue tonight on the ignored climate report:pic.twitter.com/7YmINCcksB
We’re fighting not only our own emissions, but increasingly the positive feedback mechanisms of wildfires and thawing permafrost. Going past +2°C seems very likely to me.
When you look at the IPCC brief, it’s pretty clear 2 is beyond us as well. But, we’ll have more reports in a few years about how me might have missed 1.5, but we still have 5 years (or so) to make 2 a reality.
But, the math is progressively worse each year – it’s not just the peak in emissions, it’s the fall in emissions after that. Each year, the math calls for the fall to be steeper and steeper – or, more and more unrealistic.
And the peak?:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/07/methane-emissions-surged-by-a-record-amount-in-2021-noaa-says-.html
Plus, all of this REQUIRES enormous levels of carbon capture later WITH massive decreases now. So, it’s more than likely we’ll pass 2 – it’s almost certain we will.