18z HWRF is probably a "reasonable worst case" scenario for #Nicole if it's able to get its core going. In a track like this, worst weather would be in Palm Beach and Martin counties, with TS conditions extending up the coast. Broward would get some TS conditions. (1/3) pic.twitter.com/Q6r4ZA57F1
— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) November 8, 2022
Obviously the track could end up to the north or south of this. But it continues to be clear that the worst weather will be north of the center. South Dade wouldn't even get much rain if the track goes across Lake Okechobee like that. (2/3) pic.twitter.com/wQ1BlaCM3H
— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) November 8, 2022
The commentariat at YCC’s Eye on the Storm blog by Jeff Masters and Bob Henson are pretty much the same weather nerds from the old Weather Underground Cat6 blog, and they give blow-by-blow updates on satellite surveys, recons, warnings and whatever major cyclones are in play.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/11/tropical-storm-nicole-intensifying-as-it-heads-towards-the-bahamas-and-florida/