Great video, typically good graphics, new faces explaining this year’s arctic extremes.
Great vid to share with climate science newbies.
Great video, typically good graphics, new faces explaining this year’s arctic extremes.
Great vid to share with climate science newbies.
I really thought we would have had a zero minimum before now. After 2007 and 2012 I thought Maslowski had it right. On the other hand the melting of Greenland is faster than I expected.
2030-2040 time frame has been most often quoted in my readings.
Remember that the metric is “area with at least 15% sea ice”.
The exponential losses reasonably fit ending with the 2012 data, are now best fit with a linear loss rate, so maybe by 2030 we’ll be ice-free.
all we really need is a “perfect storm” summer, and we could get there any year going forward.
barring that, 2030 and beyond looks likely.
Just posted it to the Neurologica blog “Climate Change and Wild Fires” article. There’s a commenter there who blames the California fires on poor forest management practices.
A treasured quote: “That the fire situation is not a worldwide phenomena and in fact seems counter to the trends the scientists have thus far identified, makes the global warming hypothesis seem unlikely.”
upcoming vid will address the “forest management” idea.
It is a factor – Smokey the Bear was the Timber industry’s idea of a forester, and we would have been better served to follow the indigenous example, which I posted on recently.
https://climatecrocks.com/2020/09/16/to-mitigate-fire-look-to-indigenous-knowledge/
I saw this recently. I’m sure you know what it covers, but it’s a good primer, and goes over forest management:
https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-climate-change-is-affecting-wildfires-around-the-world
Also, it explains why the total area burned globally per year has gone down consistently the last two decades. Interesting stuff – I wasn’t aware of that.
I’m sure you saw this, too, but it’s recent news:
Global warming driving California wildfire trends – study
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54278988
And, for a laugh, there’s this: