Severe Storms, or the “Stormy Effect”? GOP Voters Increasingly Worried about Climate

yalepoll0518
Click to enlarge

Whether it’s the severe Storms, or Stormy,  Trump voters notice that somebody’s been lying to them.

Tony Leiserowitz for Yale Program on Climate Communication:

Among Republican registered voters, belief that global warming is happening has increased 4 percentage points, while belief that it is mostly human-caused has increased 9 percentage points since the Fall of 2017. Republicans are also more worried about global warming than they were in the Fall (+5 points).

It appears that the “Trump Effect” – in which Republican opinions on climate change declined after the 2016 election – has bottomed out. Republican opinions have rebounded – in some cases to new record highs. Republican support for strict carbon dioxide limits on existing coal-fired power plants increased 9 points and support for requiring fossil fuel companies to pay a revenue-neutral carbon tax rose 7 points since Fall 2017.

More broadly, public support for a variety of climate and clean energy policies remains strong and bipartisan. Large majorities of registered voters support:

  • Funding more research on renewable energy (87% support), including 94% of Democrats, 83% of Independents, and 79% of Republicans.
  • Generating renewable energy on public land (86% support), including 91% of Democrats, 82% of Independents, and 81% of Republicans.
  • Providing tax rebates to people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels (85% support), including 91% of Democrats, 82% of Independents, and 77% of Republicans (+6 points since Fall 2017).
  • Regulating carbon dioxide as a pollutant (81% support), including 91% of Democrats, 80% of Independents, and 69% of Republicans (+8 points since Fall 2017).

Few registered voters think the United States should use more coal (12%; 6% of Democrats, 14% of Independents, and 18% of Republicans) or oil in the future (11%; 7% of Democrats, and 16% of both Independents and Republicans).

supportdarksnow

Continue reading “Severe Storms, or the “Stormy Effect”? GOP Voters Increasingly Worried about Climate”

Climate Denier/Con-Man/Coal Baron Surging in W. Va Primary

Proving that conspiring to cause the deaths of 29 miners is not enough to keep miners from voting for you, as long as you’re tough on the “China-persons” issue.
A classic “Chickens for Colonel Sanders” situation.

Somebody explain this to me.

ThinkProgress:

The GOP is so desperate to stop ex-convict Don Blankenship from winning the Republican Senate primary in West Virginia Tuesday, that President Trump even inserted himself in the race via a tweet early Monday morning.

Yet weeks of previous attack ads on the former coal baronby a super PAC connected to Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell (KY) appear to have backfired.

supportdarksnow

Politico reported Saturday evening that “four Republicans said they’d reviewed polling conducted in recent days showing Blankenship … moving narrowly ahead of his more mainstream GOP rivals.” On Monday, the Weekly Standard published two internal polls showing Blankenship with a 1-point lead and a 3-point lead.

Former Massey Energy CEO Blankenship’s popularity is surging even though he’s still on probation after serving one year in federal prison for conspiring to violate mine safety standards in the lead up to one of the worst mine disaster in decades, which killed 29 miners.

The Republican establishment opposes Blankenship fearing he is simply too toxic to win the November general election against Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), who is considered vulnerable because Trump won the state by 40 percent in 2016.

Following the disastrous Alabama Senate loss by Roy Moore, the GOP worry “they’re staring down their latest potential midterm election fiasco.”

So last Thursday, Donald Trump Jr. tweeted, “I’m gonna go out on a limb here and ask the people of West Virginia to make a wise decision and reject Blankenship!” He added, “No more fumbles like Alabama. We need to win in November.”

Then, at 3:53 Monday morning, his father joined the fight, tweeting that Blankenship “can’t win the General Election in your State … No way! Remember Alabama.”

This attack by the President led to a truly bizarre reply by Blankenship, claiming the Republican “establishment is misinforming him because they do not want me to be in the US Senate and promote the president’s agenda.”

He added: “As some have said, I am Trumpier than Trump and this morning proves it.”

Rolling Stone:

On Monday morning, President Trump warned the people of West Virginiaabout voting for former coal baron and convicted criminal Don Blankenship in Tuesday’s Republican primary: “To the great people of West Virginia we have, together, a really great chance to keep making a big difference. Problem is, Don Blankenship, currently running for Senate, can’t win the General Election in your State…No way! Remember Alabama. Vote Rep. Jenkins or A.G. Morrisey!” Continue reading “Climate Denier/Con-Man/Coal Baron Surging in W. Va Primary”

“What’s my motivation?” – For these “Grassroots protesters”, it’s Just Another Acting Job

actors

Acting is a tough business. But there’s one growth area.

“They paid us to sit through the meeting and clap every time someone said something against wind and solar power,” Keith Keough told The Lens, saying he was not political and just needed the money.”

“Grass Roots” activists for hire. New story from New Orleans is consistent with other incidents in recent years.

New Orleans Times Picayune:

Local actors were paid to attend New Orleans City Council meetings last year in a show of support for a proposed Entergy power plant, collecting $60 to $200 for performances that at times included prewritten speeches with talking points favoring the plant — in other words, “speaking roles,” The Lens reports.

supportdarksnow

“I’m an excellent speaker,” an actor told the news site. “I was their best choice. Of course I had a speaking role, are you kidding?”

It’s not clear who fueled the paid lobbying effort but paying people to “create the illusion of grassroots support,” a practice known as “astroturfing,” is apparently legal, according to The Lens report.

Still, attorneys for a coalition of organizations in opposition to the power plant say they want state and local officials to investigate whether this particular instance of astroturfing broke any laws.

The same coalition has filed a lawsuit alleging that the city council broke state open-meetings law by keeping some citizens out of meetings that involved the proposed power plant.

With the paid actors in attendance, an October public hearing was so packed that some citizens had to wait until the crowd shrank before they were allowed inside council chambers.

In a statement emailed Friday night, Entergy New Orleans President and CEO Charles Rice said the company did not pay anyone to attend the council meetings or direct anyone to attend public meetings.

“Instead, we worked tirelessly to encourage our supporters to take time from their busy workday schedules to testify on behalf of this project,” Rice said.

Longer story here and at link.

The Lens – New Orleans:

Last October, about 50 people in bright orange shirts filed into City Hall for a public hearing on Entergy’s request to build a $210 million power plant in eastern New Orleans. Their shirts read, “Clean Energy. Good Jobs. Reliable Power.”

The purpose of the hearing was to gauge community support for the power plant. But for some of those in the crowd, it was just another acting gig.

At least four of the people in orange shirts were professional actors. One actor said he recognized 10 to 15 others who work in the local film industry.

supportdarksnow

They were paid $60 each time they wore the orange shirts to meetings in October and February. Some got $200 for a “speaking role,” which required them to deliver a prewritten speech, according to interviews with the actors and screenshots of Facebook messages provided to The Lens.

“They paid us to sit through the meeting and clap every time someone said something against wind and solar power,” said Keith Keough, who heard about the opportunity through a friend.

He said he thought he was going to shoot a commercial. “I’m not political,” he said. “I needed the money for a hotel room at that point.”

They were asked to sign non-disclosure agreements and were instructed not to speak to the media or tell anyone they were being paid.

But three of them agreed to talk about their experience and provided evidence that they were paid to endorse the power plant. Two spoke on the condition that they not be identified, saying they didn’t want to jeopardize other work or get in trouble for violating the non-disclosure agreement.

Another attendee, an actor and musician who played a small role on HBO’s “Treme,” told WWL-TV he was paid to wear one of the orange shirts at a meeting of the council’s utility committee.

Continue reading ““What’s my motivation?” – For these “Grassroots protesters”, it’s Just Another Acting Job”

Climate Change Elevator Pitch: Eric Rignot

 

One of my favorite little series, sparked by an idea from John Cook.

Along with John I interviewed scientists at the 2014 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting in San Francisco. John’s little wrinkle was to ask each scientist for an “Elevator pitch”, –  a quick persuader on climate science, short enough to sum up between floors.

Another example of content that only happens here – with your support.

supportdarksnow

 

For Katherine Hayhoe, Trolls are just Part of the Job

“Behold, I send you forth as sheep in the midst of wolves. Be ye therefore wise as serpents and harmless as doves” – Mathew 10:16

When I first profiled Katharine Hayhoe in 2012, having met her at a conference at the University of Michigan. Readers here got her story in an interview she told me later was still her favorite.

At the time, it was 2 years before she became one of Time Magazine’s most influential 100. (subtle hint that you learn stuff and meet people here first – because you support Dark Snow Project)

supportdarksnow

In recent years, the messages from climate cranks haven’t changed much in substance or tone..

Time:

There’s something fascinating about a smart person who defies stereotype. That’s what makes my friend Katharine Hayhoe — a Texas Tech climatologist and an evangelical Christian — so interesting.

It’s hard to be a good steward of the planet if you don’t accept the hard science behind what’s harming it, and it can be just as hard to take action to protect our world if you don’t love it as the rare gift it is. For many people, that implies a creator. Katharine and her husband, evangelical pastor Andrew Farley, have authored the defining book for the planet-loving believer, A Climate for Change: Global Warming Facts for Faith-Based Decisions. I got to know Katharine as we worked on Showtime’s climate documentary Years of Living Dangerously. But we are all getting to know and benefit from her work.

Below, watch Dr. Hayhoe deflect an attack by a posturing local pol in Austin – even-tempered, cheerful, respectful, and surgical.

A model for us all.

Continue reading “For Katherine Hayhoe, Trolls are just Part of the Job”

Are Wind Opponents a Noisy Minority?

The best lack all conviction, while the worst
 Are full of passionate intensity. – WB Yeats

Observing public meetings relating to wind turbines over the last year suggests strongly to me that a well organized, noisy minority can be mobilized to intimidate the larger community.
It’s a symptom and sign of the current state of our politics.  Time for the majority to stand up.

Renewable Energy World:

While most surveys suggest that the public generally supports wind and solar poweropposition from local communities and residents sometimes blocks or delays specific new projects.

supportdarksnow

Consider the ill-fated Cape Wind offshore project, which was slated to be powering Cape Cod by now. Although Massachusetts has some of the nation’s strongest renewable energy policies, a group of coastal homeowners in that state objected vociferously soon after Cape Wind Associates, the developer, first proposed building it in 2001. They ultimately filed more than a dozen lawsuits over 14 years, creating hassles and delays that along with opposition from other parties doomed it.

As renewable energy researchers witnessing similar storylines play out across the country, we wanted to see how much local opposition there is to existing wind farms. With funding from the Energy Department and help from our colleagues, we teamed up to undertake the largest scientific study to date on how people who live near U.S. wind farms perceive them.

Wind Rush

As of the end of 2017, about 50,000 utility-scale wind turbines were supplying nearly 7 percent of the electricity in the U.S. With experts foreseeing another 3,000 turbines per year on average coming online in the years ahead, more and more people will be living near wind farms.

Clearly, community support or opposition could either speed up or slow down the growth of this renewable energy source.

And there’s no doubt that fighting about wind power makes for interesting journalism. It’s a story that highlights the conflicts that can arise among local residents and efforts to reap global benefits. While renewable energy is supposed to save the world, questions have arisen regarding its potential impacts on wildlife, public health — in the form of ailments allegedly caused by wind farms — and perceived fears of eroded property values and tourism revenue.

In general, we have observed that the media coverage of attitudes toward wind energy tends to be very anecdotal. Vivid stories of suffering dominate the discussion, which is often devoid of fundamental or methodical analysis of public opinion, the severity of the associated annoyances or even the extent of discontent among people living next to or near wind farms. Continue reading “Are Wind Opponents a Noisy Minority?”

Trump Effect: Republicans Double Down on Denial.

gallup050418
Click to Enlarge

Climatechange a hoax – check. Obama from Kenya – check.  Mexico will pay for the wall – check. 

Departure from objective fact still a runaway train among “conservatives”.

supportdarksnow

Gallup:

Gallup’s annual survey about the environment, conducted March 1-8, found that Americans’ opinions about global warming, like many other issues, have increasingly become politically polarized.

President Donald Trump, who has called global warming a “hoax,” may have contributed to this widening divide by reversing a number of government actions to address the issue. These included the announcement that the U.S. will withdraw from the 2015 Paris climate accord, the removal of climate change from the list of top U.S. national security threats and the elimination of the terms “global warming” and “climate change” from U.S. government websites and lexicons.

In general, Democrats view global warming seriously, while Republicans view it skeptically:

  • Ninety-one percent of Democrats and 33% of Republicans say they worry a great deal or fair amount about global warming, but 67% of Republicans worry only a little or not at all.
  • While 82% of Democrats think global warming has already begun to happen, only 34% of Republicans agree. Rather, 57% of Republicans think it will not happen in their lifetime (25%) or will “never happen” (32%).
  • About seven in 10 Republicans (69%) think the seriousness of global warming is exaggerated in the news, 15% think it is generally correct and 15% say it is generally underestimated. Democrats, however, are much more likely to think the seriousness of global warming is underestimated (64%) or correct (32%), and just 4% say it is exaggerated.
  • Eighty-six percent of Democrats versus 42% of Republicans think most scientists believe global warming is occurring. The percentage of Republicans who say most scientists believe this is down 11 percentage points since last year.
  • Almost nine in 10 Democrats say increases in the Earth’s temperature over the last century are due to human activities more than natural changes in the environment. Just 35% of Republicans agree, while 63% attribute the temperature increases to natural environmental causes.
  • Four in five Republicans do not think global warming will pose a serious threat to them in their lifetime; two-thirds of Democrats think it will.

Below, former Cato Institute Climate denial pro Jerry Taylor explains what caused him to wake up.

Continue reading “Trump Effect: Republicans Double Down on Denial.”