Anybody Smell Smoke?

activefiresKMSP Minneapolis:

EDEN PRAIRIE, Minn. (KMSP) – Plenty of folks have been asking about the haze and smoke lingering in the sky across Minnesota. That smoke is from wildfires burning in Canada.
Smoke from wildfires in central Saskatchewan is being carried southeast in the mid-levels of the atmosphere, and eventually mixing down to ground level here in Minnesota where we see and feel the effects with poor air quality, limited visibility and a smoky smell to the air we breathe. The silver lining is magnificent sunsets!

Minneapolis air quality worse than Beijing

Monday evening, the air quality index for the Twin Cities was at 187, with fine particle pollution reaching a level considered unhealthy for everyone. By comparison, Beijing had an AQI of 158 on Monday.

An air quality health alert covers the entire state of Minnesota, including the Twin Cities area. The smoke band should move out of the state during the next 12 hours, but smoke may return Tuesday afternoon.

While air quality briefly improved following rain showers on Sunday and Monday, heavy smoke returned to Minnesota behind the storm system. As of 9 a.m. Monday, air quality across the northern two-thirds of Minnesota had reached unhealthy levels. View current air quality conditions at http://www.pca.state.mn.us/aqi

CBC:

According to an expert on wildland fires, Saskatchewan’s smoky skies and persistent blazes can be largely attributed to climate change.

Mike Flannigan is a professor in the department of renewable resources at the University of Alberta.

A former weather forecaster with Environment Canada, Flannigan says climate change is contributing to a lazy jet stream, effectively decreasing the energy needed to create rain and wet conditions.

“Normally, a low pressure system comes through every three to five days, giving us rain and keeping the fire problem in check,” he said.

Continue reading “Anybody Smell Smoke?”

Study: Flood Risk Underestimated – Rising Due to Climate Change

wu_flood

One of the key findings of a recent National Academy of Science panel on abrupt climate change, is that its important not just to look at potential sudden tipping points in climate effects, but also to consider that a steady, incremental creep in climate changes can cause human systems and infrastructure, built for the conditions of 50 or 100 years ago, to fail suddenly in the face of the new normal.

Washington University:

As floodwaters surge along major rivers in the midwestern United States, a new study from Washington University in St. Louis suggests federal agencies are underestimating historic 100-year flood levels on these rivers by as much as five feet, a miscalculation that has serious implications for future flood risks, flood insurance and business development in an expanding floodplain.

“This analysis shows that average high-water marks on these river systems are rising about an inch per year — that’s a rate ten times greater than the annual rise in sea levels now occurring due to climate change,” said Robert Criss, PhD, professor of geology in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences in Arts & Sciences and author of the study.

Published this month in an advance online issue of the Journal of Earth Science, the findings are important, Criss said, because many of the nation’s flood-control river levee systems are not engineered to withstand floods that rise much higher than the projected 100-year flood level.

Continue reading “Study: Flood Risk Underestimated – Rising Due to Climate Change”

What Happened to the Republican Consensus on Climate Change?

A lot of these clips you may remember seeing, but when you watch them all together – the effect is somewhat stunning.
For one brief, shining moment around 2007-8, taking action on Climate Change was a mainstream Republican position.

Below, a press conference jointly held by John Kerry and Newt Gingrich in 2007.  I remember hearing about this at the time and thinking it signaled a real sea change in politics. Naivete.

In 2014, Gingrich demanded Kerry’s resignation and called him “delusional” for comparing climate change to WMD.  He furiously spins denialist talking points to justify his flip-flop. Continue reading “What Happened to the Republican Consensus on Climate Change?”

Paul Gipe: Is this the Year We Declare a War for Independence from Fossil Fuels?

King George was a pussycat compared to King Koch.

Paul Gipe’s Windworks:

In a stunning turn in the battle between corporate domination of renewable energy and community ownership, a cooperative of German investors has rescued defunct commercial wind developer Prokon.

The move marks a forceful rejection of a proposed takeover by one of Germany’s largest electric utilities, Energie Baden-Württemberg (EnBW). The utility, one of Germany’s Big Four, has lagged far behind other German utilities in the connection of wind turbines to its system. Analysts saw EnBW’s proposal to buy Prokon’s assets as a particularly cheap way for the utility to quickly gain wind capacity without the arduous and time consuming work normally necessary.

However, the utility didn’t count on an effective grassroots campaign by Germany’s electricity rebels, including Elektrizitätswerke Schönau (EWS)–the country’s most famous rebels–who urged investors to fight for their independence.

On 2 July 2015 a clear majority of Prokon’s investors chose the cooperative model to continue operation despite EnBW’s aggressive advertising campaign that threatened investors with the loss of their money if they rejected the utility’s offer.

EWS declared the decision a Great Day for Prokon and Community Energy, characterizing the decision as another victory in a David versus Goliath struggle for the future of renewable energy.

Electricity rebels argue that Germany’s Energiewende, or energy revolution, must be built from the ground up by putting renewable energy in the hands of the people.

At the time of its bankruptcy, Prokon operated more than 500 MW of wind generating capacity–assets worth more than one billion dollars–and employed more than 600 people.

EWS is a cooperatively-owned electricity provider in the Black Forest village of Schönau in the southern German state of Baden-Württemberg.  The coop’s founders were described in the media as “electricity rebels” for their revolt against the local utility company after the nuclear disaster in Chernobyl. Ursula Sladek, one of the coop’s founders, received the prestigious Goldman Environmental Prize and met with President Barack Obama in 2011. The coop now has 100,000 customers. For more on EWS, see Strom Rebels of Schönau: The Village That Built Their Own Solar Utility.

Fourth of July Family Picnic Harmonizer

nasapageYou’re cooking brats outside on an unseasonably cool July 4th afternoon, and your crazy dittohead Uncle sidles up to you with a Miller High Life and a smirk – “So, we sure could use some global warming today…”

Whip our your cellphone and show him the screen shot from the NASA Climate home page. Invite him to peruse the site with Aunt Teabag.

A Public Service. You’re welcome. Enjoy your brats.

nasapage22

Can Republicans Climb Down on Climate Change?

The Director of Citizen’s Climate Lobby, reacting to feedback from 800 CCL members, who descended on Washington, DC last week for their trademark respectful and consistent dialogue with climate deniers in congress.
He’s optimistic – but we need a Climate Churchill among Republicans, and I’m not seeing it, yet.

Mark Reynolds in the Midland Daily News:

Here’s what we know about climate change: 97 percent of climate scientists are convinced, based upon the evidence, that human-caused global warming is happening.

The popular narrative in the media these days, however, is that Republicans in Congress don’t accept this fact and that the GOP is in denial about the science around climate change.

reynoldsWell, I have some surprising news: Everything you think you know about Republicans and climate change is a myth that I will now explode.

Our organization, Citizens’ Climate Lobby, recently sent 800 volunteers to meet with more than 500 House and Senate offices in Washington. This was our opening in those meetings:

“We’re here to talk about a policy that can grow the economy, add jobs, increase our competitiveness with China, and make our air and water cleaner.”

That policy, our volunteers would go on to explain, is to place a gradually-rising fee on carbon and return the revenue to households. They also shared the results of a non-partisan study that found such a policy would cut CO2 emissions in half within 20 years, while adding 2.8 million jobs to the economy and saving 13,000 lives annually because of reduced air pollution.

So, what happened when our volunteers engaged Republicans in this conversation?

In most instances, there was keen interest, active listening, productive discussions and — in some cases — expressions of support for our proposal. In very few instances was there pushback from the staff or member of Congress about the science of climate change.

In meeting after meeting with Republican offices, the unspoken agreement seemed to be: “Let’s not argue about the science; let’s talk about solutions and where we might find common ground.”

But what about everything we’re hearing on TV and reading in newspapers about Republican presidential candidates pushing back on the Pope’s Encyclical? What about a certain member of Congress who tossed a snowball on the Senate floor to dispute global warming?

These are the more sensational reactions that make the news because the media thrives on conflict. No conflict. No news.

Despite the headlines, CCL has found in the past year that the propensity among congressional Republicans to dispute climate science has waned considerably. So, why has that changed and why were we ever arguing the science to begin with? Continue reading “Can Republicans Climb Down on Climate Change?”

Will Heat Wave Wave Change Minds in 2015?

My guess is yes.
The last time we had a year of extremes quite like this was 2012, which I think will go down in history as the hinge year when polls in the US began to swing from climate apathy or denial to concern.

I completed the video above, one of my favorites, in early July of 2012, in the midst of a severe drought in Southwestern Michigan, where I was attending a conference at Michigan State’s agricultural research station near Kalamazoo. The rivers nearby were running at a few percent of normal at the time,  and everywhere you stepped was crunchy dry.  I suspect as the summer goes on we will accumulate yet more viral videos of the odd, the unusual, and the extreme in weather and climate events.

Motherboard:

A Google News search for “heat waves” turns up droves; this week, there’s the “unusual” one sweeping Western Europe, the one “scorching” the Bay Area with triple digit temperatures, the “brutal” one in Pakistan that left 1250 dead, and the one that “shattered” records in the Pacific Northwest.

That’s just right now, at the time of writing; together, they’re a snapshot of a heat waving world. But there’s little we should consider unusual about these brutal scorchers shattering records; they’ve become fairly routine on our 400 ppm planet. Just weeks before, a heat wave that hit India killed more than 2,300 people; it was one of the five worst in recorded history. That another came along and did comparable damage to its next-door neighbor just weeks later pretty powerfully elucidates the scope of the coming crisis.

As if cued by the tragedy, the United Nations also proposed its first-ever heat wave warning system this week. The Heat-Health Warning System, as outlined in a 100+ page document, recommends nations take a number of actions to warn their populations of heat waves and brace them for their impacts, including forecasting for high temps that may include humidity, determining their regions’ heat-stress thresholds, creating a system of alerts for notifying the public of incipient heat, and building “real time public health surveillance systems.”

The World Health Organization and the World Meteorological Organization, the UN agencies behind the report, have essentially concluded that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of the heat waves—a phenomenon it says doesn’t get as much attention as other more destructive weather events—and that action is becoming urgent.

BBC:

The UK has seen the hottest July day on record, with temperatures hitting 36.7C (98F).

The Met Office said the reading had been registered at Heathrow – breaking the previous record set in 2006.

A level 3 “heatwave action” heat-health alert has been declared for all parts of England.

Summer 2015 Smashing Records

maine070215eastJeff Masters in Weather Underground:

Unprecedented June heat scorched portions of four continents during the past week, and many all-time heat records are likely to fall across multiple continents this July as the peak heat of summer arrives for what has been the hottest year in recorded human history. Already on July 1, in Wimbledon, England–site of the classic Wimbledon tennis tournament–players are enduring the city’s hottest day in tournament history. The mercury hit 96.3°F (35.7°C) at Kew Gardens, the nearest recording site, topping the previous record of 94.3°F (34.6°C) on June 26, 1976. London’s Heathrow Airport has risen to 98.1°F (36.7°C) so far on July 1. This is not only a new all-time July record at that location, but also a July heat record for the UK, topping the previous record of 97.7°F (36.5°C) in Wisley on July 19, 2006.

We’ve already seen two of the planet’s top ten deadliest heat waves in history over the past two months; the Pakistani government announced on Wednesday that the death toll from the brutal June heat wave in Pakistan’s largest city, Karachi, had hit 1,250. According to statistics from EM-DAT, the International Disaster Database, this makes the 2015 heat wave in Pakistan the 8th deadliest in world history. The heat wave that hit India in May, claiming approximately 2,500 lives, ranks as the 5th deadliest.

maine070215west

Open Mind:

Consider La Crosse, WA for instance. On Friday (June 26) it broke the all-time record for that date, not just by a degree or even two, but by five degrees. That’s five degrees hotter than any other June 26th on record. The next day (Saturday June 27) it broke the record for that day too, exceeding the hottest June 27th on record, not by one, or two, or even five degrees, but by nine degrees.

If you think that’s impressive, consider that on Sunday (June 28) it tied the all-time record for any day, not just for that date. And it was not even July or August (the usual hottest months) yet. As for the daily record, of course it broke that. Not by one degree, not by two, not by five, not even by nine. It broke the June 28th record by fifteen degrees.

Continue reading “Summer 2015 Smashing Records”

Watch As Empire State Size Chunk Breaks off Greenland

Vice:

If watching ice melt sounds boring, here’s a video that might change your mind.

Researchers from New York University (NYU) monitoring the Jakobshavn glacier in Greenland filmed an enormous vertical slab of ice breaking off, tipping horizontally, and floating into the ocean. The glacier chunk was more than half a mile high long — that’s more than the height of two Empire State Buildings.

No other glacier in the Northern Hemisphere releases more ice into the ocean than Jakobshavn.